Arizona Real Estate Notebook

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Houses for Sale Up 11% in 1 Week!

arizonarealestatenotebook.substack.com

Houses for Sale Up 11% in 1 Week!

John Wake
May 22, 2022
Share this post

Houses for Sale Up 11% in 1 Week!

arizonarealestatenotebook.substack.com

The number of houses for sale is up 84% from a year ago and up 11% from last week!

Prices still increasing fast… for now, anyway.


My latest think piece.

Why House Prices Sometimes Skyrocket

The Supply and Demand Volatility Mismatch Theory of House Price Instability

"Despite years of rapidly increasing production, in 2005, Phoenix home builders still had so much unsatisfied demand that some builders held lotteries to see which prospective buyers they would sell their new houses to! Although home builders were not even close to meeting demand in 2005, Phoenix home builders would later be blamed for overbuilding in 2005!"


Time has a long but really good piece on the Phoenix real estate market.

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John Wake @JohnWake
Another great Times piece on real estate. Tina Tamboer nails it, “That’s your Airbnb and your VRBO type investor,” says Tamboer. “Those homes actually are pulled completely out of supply, not available for anyone to live in, only available for tourists.”
time.comWhy Phoenix—of All Places—Has the Fastest Growing Home Prices in the U.S.Homes prices are high everywhere, but Phoenix, Arizona, has gone from affordable to affluent in just a couple years.
10:50 PM ∙ May 20, 2022
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Interesting Op-Ed in the Arizona Capital Times against short-term rentals.

How short-term rentals ruin everything

"The seller says the property is only worth about $1.6 million as a regular home, but as an Airbnb he’s asking $2.25 million because “in reality it’s a hotel” and the higher income justifies the higher price. This is exactly how STRs are destroying Arizona’s housing market and affordability. Home buyers can’t possibly compete with STR investors that will pay 40% more for the same house. Renters are shut out because they can’t possibly pay “hotel rates” for their monthly rent."


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John Wake @JohnWake
Build-to-rent homes are all over metro Phoenix, but is that really a good thing? "There are 50 active BTR communities in the Valley and an incredible 160 more in various planning stages."
azcentral.comThe Arizona Republic
6:17 PM ∙ May 17, 2022
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This is super controversial.

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John Wake @JohnWake
What your real estate agent doesn't tell you. "There are a record number of housing units under construction due to construction delay (eclipsing the previous record in 1973 when a huge number of apartments were being built for the baby boom generation)." calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/april-housin…
Image
5:57 AM ∙ May 20, 2022
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Click on the graphs to go to the full-size, interactive version.



This information can vary a lot in different parts of metro Phoenix. Your real estate agent can find the data for your specific city or zip code at The Cromford Report.

  • Phoenix Weekly Market Updates 2022

  • Phoenix Weekly Market Graph (only)

  • Long-term Phoenix real estate market graphs

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Houses for Sale Up 11% in 1 Week!

arizonarealestatenotebook.substack.com
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