Arizona Real Estate Notebook

Share this post

Phoenix Median Single-Family House Price DOWN $40,000 in 4 Months

arizonarealestatenotebook.substack.com

Phoenix Median Single-Family House Price DOWN $40,000 in 4 Months

John Wake
Oct 2, 2022
1
3
Share this post

Phoenix Median Single-Family House Price DOWN $40,000 in 4 Months

arizonarealestatenotebook.substack.com
  • Interactive Charts


Phoenix Median Single-Family House Sold Price Down $40,000 in 4 Months

The End of FOMO. Phoenix median single-family house prices will probably match year-earlier levels by December or January. And then for the next 6 months, the real estate storyline will be that house prices are lower than a year ago. That could really change the expectations for future house prices and any remaining buyer urgency.

Interview


Market Update



Building Permits


Rents

Phoenix’s Apartment Market is Cooling Off Fast

But while “cooling off” is too strong a word to describe national performance, it appears to be an accurate description of Phoenix.


Quick Tweets

Don’t look at Phoenix.

Twitter avatar for @AliWolfEcon
Ali Wolf @AliWolfEcon
Here's the latest data on new home sales across select markets. The average sales rate metric adjusts for inventory. We compare to 2019 since that year represented a healthy housing market pre-pandemic.
Image
7:59 PM ∙ Sep 30, 2022
31Likes8Retweets
Twitter avatar for @JohnWake
John Wake @JohnWake
Phoenix evictions still trending up. evictionlab.org/eviction-track…
Image
1:31 PM ∙ Sep 25, 2022
Twitter avatar for @catherinereagor
catherinereagor @catherinereagor
Metro Phoenix home prices fall in August and poised to fall again in September azcentral.com/story/money/re… via @azcentral
11:58 PM ∙ Sep 26, 2022
8Likes5Retweets
Twitter avatar for @JohnWake
John Wake @JohnWake
"People working from home in Arizona went from 7.6% in 2019 to 20.7% in 2021"
Twitter avatar for @UArizonaEBRC
University of Arizona EBRC @UArizonaEBRC
Arizona is in the top third of states for the percentage of people working from home based on 2021 ACS 1-year estimates from the Census Bureau. https://t.co/VO3EJWBaXt https://t.co/EQRdnI76pp
3:17 PM ∙ Sep 28, 2022
7Likes1Retweet

Click on the graphs to go to the full-size, interactive version.


Notice how very small changes in New Listings and Solds eventually cause HUGE changes in the number of houses For Sale and house Prices (see graph above).


This information can vary a lot in different parts of metro Phoenix. Your real estate agent can find the data for your specific city or zip code at The Cromford Report.

  • Phoenix Weekly Market Updates 2022

  • Phoenix Weekly Market Graph (only)

  • Long-term Phoenix real estate market graphs

Share

3
Share this post

Phoenix Median Single-Family House Price DOWN $40,000 in 4 Months

arizonarealestatenotebook.substack.com
3 Comments
Michael Norton
Oct 2, 2022

Started reading your reports during the Great Recession era. Soon learned that you were almost always weeks ahead of the rest of the analysts - and rarely wrong despite calling your shot first. Over the decade or so you've published, you've never once lost my confidence in you. Best thing about your reports - - you challenge your readers to find any explanation for any trend identified. Late Sunday morning coffee and a John Wake report - great stuff. Now . . . my thought . . . frequently stone cold nuts. When we finally get decent population data I bet we learn that Phoenix area population swings and tsunamis have a lot in common. COVID pushed a massive flood of people into the County. After hanging out here for a year or two, many remembered why they vacation in Arizona but don't live here. Now . . . . what to do about that emotional 2020/21 decision to buy a house?

Expand full comment
Reply
2 replies by John Wake and others
2 more comments…
TopNewCommunity

No posts

Ready for more?

© 2023 John Wake
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start WritingGet the app
Substack is the home for great writing